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2024-12-14 11:20:28

For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:By the way, there will be an interest rate resolution of America next week. Even if there is no favorable interest rate reduction or interest rate reduction this week, it is estimated that it should be issued next week. In addition, the fund ranking war will start at the end of the year, and the second-class stocks should be the main tone! I wish you all a happy weekend. Don't be affected by today's plunge. We will fight again next week!Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.


So, as I emphasized above, the market can go up for 12 days on expectations, but if it is delayed, it is expected to be exhausted one day. There was a lot of noise about letting water out, but the faucet was tightened, and a lock was added without saying anything. Who can stand it! Today's plunge does not rule out the intention of forcing the above to continue to release water, and see if it will be introduced at the weekend.Finally, the gold content of the technical small high point has increased, and there is a high probability that the market will stop falling and stabilize next week. This week's rhythm was expected by the news, and it was really difficult to operate. However, on Tuesday, after Lao Liu suggested a small high point, he gave two pressure levels and two support levels when he repaired the rebound on Wednesday. Now it is needless to say that he went up. Let's look at the short-term trend line and the triangular upper rail pressure line.Yesterday, Black Thursday was circumvented by the favorable intraday trading and mysterious fund blessing. Unfortunately, the favorable market released by the after-hours heavy meeting not only did not have a high premium today, but triggered the smashing behavior of low opening and low walking. What's the solution? In fact, the policy expectations have long been full, but no actual actions have been seen. It is not surprising that the market chose to die. At least the gold content of the small high point suggested by Lao Liu on Tuesday continues to rise.


Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.So, as I emphasized above, the market can go up for 12 days on expectations, but if it is delayed, it is expected to be exhausted one day. There was a lot of noise about letting water out, but the faucet was tightened, and a lock was added without saying anything. Who can stand it! Today's plunge does not rule out the intention of forcing the above to continue to release water, and see if it will be introduced at the weekend.I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!

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